80% of companies have deployed generative AI in some form. Yet roughly the same percentage report no material impact on their business.
The numbers get worse when you look at AI agents specifically. Only 15% of technology leaders are actually deploying autonomous agents in production. The rest are stuck in pilot mode, running demos that look impressive but never make it past testing.
Today's LLMs are remarkably capable, so the gap between demo and production is about reliability.
Everything comes down to math, specifically, the math of compounding errors.
The math behind agent failures
Small error rates at each step multiply into large failure rates overall.
Compounding Errors Graph
Problem: Small errors at each step compound into large failures. A 20-step process with 95% per-step reliability only succeeds 36% of the time. More than half of your operations fail before completion.
More than half your operations fail before they complete.
Even at 99% reliability per step, which is extremely optimistic, a 20-step process only succeeds 82% of the time. One in five attempts fails.
This is why demos look great but production breaks.
What makes production different
Demo vs Production Workflow
✨ Demo workflow
Controlled, happy path scenarios
1. User query
Clean, well-formatted input
↓
2. Extract intent
Single, clear objective
↓
3. Call API
Perfect response, no errors
↓
4. Format response
Simple, expected output
3-5 steps • Success rate: 95%+
⚡ Production workflow
Real-world edge cases and failures
1. User query
Ambiguous input
2. Validate input
Missing fields
3. Check auth
Session expired
4. Extract intent
Multiple intents
5. Handle edge cases
Unclear context
6. Query database
Slow response
7. Call external API
Rate limited
8. Handle timeout
Connection lost
9. Retry logic
Backoff strategy
10. Validate data
Schema mismatch
11. Check compliance
Regulatory rules
12. Format output
Multiple formats
15-30+ steps • Success rate: 36%
Why this matters: Demos optimize for the happy path with clean data and perfect conditions. Production handles messy inputs, network failures, edge cases, compliance checks, and external dependencies. Each additional step multiplies the chance of failure.
How to build reliable agents
The teams successfully deploying AI agents in production do a few things differently.
1. Design for human-in-the-loop
Not all decisions should be autonomous. The key is identifying which actions can run automatically and which need human approval.
Build escalation paths from day one. The agent should know when it's uncertain and when to hand it off to a human. This caps the blast radius of errors.
2. Reliability as the core metric
Success rate matters more than feature count. Measure how often the entire process succeeds, not just individual steps.
Track:
- End-to-end success rate: What percentage of operations complete successfully?
- Failure modes: Where and why are things breaking?
- Time to resolution: How long does recovery take when things fail?
Don't add new capabilities until existing ones work reliably. A simple agent that works 95% of the time is more valuable than a sophisticated agent that works 60% of the time.
3. Observability from day one
With non-deterministic systems, you need to see exactly what happened at each step to debug failures.
Log:
- Every decision the agent makes
- Every tool call and its result
- Every escalation to humans
- Timestamps and latency for each step
- Full input/output pairs
When something breaks and often it does, you need a complete trace to understand “why.”
4. Buy the infrastructure, build the logic
Building orchestration, deployment, and monitoring from scratch is a distraction. Use existing platforms for the generic infrastructure pieces.
Buy vs Build Framework
💰 Buy
Generic infrastructure
🚀 Deployment & hosting
Model serving, auto-scaling, load balancing
🔄 Orchestration
Workflow management, retry logic, state handling
📊 Monitoring
Dashboards, alerts, error tracking, logging
🔒 Security
Authentication, authorization, encryption, certifications
🗄️ Infrastructure
Database management, caching, CDN, backup
Save 6-12 months of engineering time
These are commodity capabilities
🛠️ Build
Your competitive advantage
⚙️ Business logic
Unique workflows, decision rules, processes
🎯 Domain expertise
Industry-specific knowledge
Example: FDCPA/TCPA compliance rules, negotiation strategies, payment behavior patterns
🔧 Custom tools & integrations
Industry-specific APIs, proprietary data
📝 Prompts & AI instructions
Domain-specific prompts, examples, guardrails
This is what customers pay for
This is your moat
Key principle: Focus engineering time on what differentiates your product, not on commodity infrastructure. The platform handles deployment, orchestration, and monitoring. Your team builds the domain-specific intelligence that creates value.
Focus engineering effort on what makes your product unique, the domain-specific intelligence that creates value. For debt collection, that means building agents that understand compliance rules, negotiation dynamics, and payment behavior patterns.
Start narrow, expand carefully
Don't try to build a general-purpose agent that handles everything. Start with one specific use case where:
- Success is clearly measurable
- The process has a manageable number of steps
- Failure has limited consequences
- There's a clear baseline to beat (usually humans doing the work manually)
Build it, measure it, iterate on reliability. Only after achieving 90%+ success rate on the narrow use case should you consider expanding scope.
As you add new capabilities:
- Add them one at a time
- Measure impact on overall reliability
- Build escalation paths for the new capability
- Ensure observability covers the new steps
The path forward
AI agents will become fully autonomous as models get better, reliability improves, and the compounding error problem gets solved.
But getting there requires solving the reliability gap first. The teams building successful AI agents are doing it incrementally, starting with selective autonomy, measuring what works, and expanding the agent's scope as reliability improves.
Full autonomy is the destination, but selective autonomy is the path for now, to get there without breaking the production along the way.